Actual Sexual Assault
The best data we have
comes from the Bureau of Justice
Statistics. Rather than
showing a 'rape epidemic' they show
precisely the opposite. This
holds even more true for campus rape
(see further below).
President Obama, announcing
a campaign to address campus violence:
“An estimated one in five women has been
sexually assaulted during her college years—one in
The facts are quite different.
"From 1995 to 2010, the estimated annual rate of
rape or 'sexual assault victimizations' declined
5.0 victimizations per 1,000 females age 12 or older
2.1 per 1,000."
"Sexual assault may or may
not involve force and includes grabbing or fondling.
Sexual assault also includes verbal threats."
A June 19, 2006 story in the Washington Post said: "The number of rapes per capita in the United States has plunged by more than 85 percent since the 1970s, and reported rape fell last year even while other violent offenses increased, according to federal crime data. This seemingly stunning reduction in sexual violence has been so consistent over the past two decades that some experts say they have started to believe it is accurate, even if they cannot fully explain why it is occurring. In 1979, according to a Justice Department estimate based on a wide-ranging public survey, there were 2.8 rapes for every 1,000 people. In 2004, the same survey found that the rate had decreased to 0.4 per thousand."
And that's just since 1995. Looking back
slightly further, and the decline is even more
The decline in the forcible rape rate from
1979 to 2009 was over 82%
New DOJ study on college sexual assault says
it's not one-in-five, it's one-in-fifty-two
From the Washington Post's review of the claims:
"The CDC’s figures are wildly at odds with
official crime statistics. The FBI found that 84,767
rapes were reported to law enforcement authorities
in 2010. The Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National
Crime Victimization Survey, the gold standard in
crime research, reports 188,380 rapes and sexual
assaults on females and males in 2010. Granted, not
all assaults are reported to authorities. But where
did the CDC find 13.7 million victims of sexual
crimes that the professional criminologists had
found them by defining sexual violence in
impossibly elastic ways and then letting the
surveyors, rather than subjects, determine what
counted as an assault."
study on sexual violence in the U.S. overstates
"In fact, what the study reveals is the
devastating impact that careless advocacy research
can have on truth...The agency’s figures
are wildly at odds with official crime statistics."
"Other survey questions were equally
ambiguous. Participants were asked if they had ever
had sex because someone pressured them by “telling
you lies, making promises about the future they knew
were untrue?” All affirmative answers were counted
as “sexual violence.” Anyone who consented to sex
because a suitor wore her or him down by “repeatedly
asking” or “showing they were unhappy” was similarly
classified as a victim of violence."
From the CDC Questionnaire:
"How many people have ever…
• watched or followed you from a distance, or spied
on you with a listening device, camera, or GPS
[global positioning system]?
• approached you or showed up in places, such as
your home, workplace, or school when you didn’t want
them to be there?
• left strange or potentially threatening items for
you to find?
• left you unwanted messages? This includes text or
• made unwanted phone calls to you? This includes
• sent you unwanted emails, instant messages, or
sent messages through websites like MySpace or
any of your romantic or sexual partners ever…
• told you that you were a loser, a failure, or
not good enough?
• called you names like ugly, fat, crazy, or
• insulted, humiliated, or made fun of you in
front of others?
• told you that no one else would want you?"
"Withholding affection" from a woman now counts as assault. So, obviously, does "pressuring" a woman for sex. Therefore, men can't say they want sex, or say that they don't. The feministist have successfully removed all agency from males before the law. The upshot is that if a man says or does anything in relation to sex, or doesn't, he's in legal jeopardy.
Yoffe’s article in Slate:
"The College Rape
“The higher education insurance group United
Educators did a study of the 262 insurance claims it
paid to students between 2006 and 2010 because of
campus sexual assault, at a cost to the group of $36
million. The vast majority of the payouts, 72
percent, went to the accused—young men who
protested their treatment by universities.”
“Non-student females are victims of violence at
rates 1.7 times greater than are college females,”
the authors wrote, and this greater
victimization holds true for sex crimes: “Even
if the definition of violence were limited to sexual
assaults, these crimes are more pervasive for young
adult women who are not in college.”
"Take the National
Crime Victimization Survey, the nationally
representative sample conducted by the federal
government to find rates of reported and unreported
crime. For the years 1995 to 2011, as the University
of Colorado Denver’s Rennison explained to me, it
found that an estimated 0.8 percent of noncollege
females age 18-24 revealed that they were victims of
threatened, attempted, or completed rape/sexual
assault. Of the college females that age during that
same time period, approximately 0.6 percent
reported they experienced such attempted or
"We do have hard numbers on actual reports of
sexual assault on campus thanks to the Clery
Act, the federal law that requires colleges to
report their crime rates. But even these figures are
controversial. Minuscule sexual assault numbers have
long been a consistent feature of Clery Act
reporting. Victim advocates say
administrators deliberately suppress their numbers
in order to make the schools look safer.
(Unsurprisingly, schools deny this.) In July, the Washington
Post published the Clery number for
2012: There were just over 3,900 forcible sexual
offenses, with most schools reporting single or low
double-digit numbers. (Under the Clery Act a
“forcible sexual offense” does not require the use
physical force, it can simply be an act
against someone’s will. Offenses include everything
to fondling.) Given the approximately 12
million female college students, that’s a
reported sexual assault rate of 0.03 percent."
Ms Yoffe's article is well worth
reading. It details the "Star Chamber"
character of college rape prosecutions under the
Department of Education's Title IX strictures,
essentially consisting of unlimited rights for the
accuser and none at all for the accused.
Worse: the college may well fabricate false
'evidence' against the accused, even over the
objections of the accuser. This appears to
be the real reason colleges want to prosecute such
'crimes' themselves: if they were taken to the
police as crimes should be, some justice might be
Quote: "We approached this project objectively
and implemented it with as much methodological rigor
as possible. This gives us confidence in the
I hope and presume this 'professor' teaches at
Because a 'web-based survey' promising an Amazon
coupon, with a low response rate, and extremely
elastic definitions of assault (kissing or fondling,
etc) is custom-made to produce the highest-possible
assault rate among respondents. Consider just one
factor among many: those who actually have been
assaulted are far more likely to respond. Then
consider those like "UVA Jackie" who want to drive
up the numbers for other reasons. Just for starters.
This not only isn't science, it's the opposite of
Incidentally, 2590 in a population of 21 million
college students is a rate of 0.0012%
Since "Overall, there were more than 3,900 reports of
forcible sex offenses on college campuses nationwide
in 2012, up 50 percent over three years" (source
below), and the present
article claims an even sharper increase to 5,000
in 2013, it should at least be admitted in passing
that this is the number of alleged offenses.
And just as some assaults aren't reported, some
reported assaults never happened. It's very hard to
know the number of either.
It's worth noting that some of the highest
percentages of claims occur at progressive,
liberal-arts institutions which leads me to believe
that the elastic definitions currently in vogue, as
well as heightened consciousness, are part of the
story. Otherwise we'd have to believe that places
like Grinnell, Reed, Amherst, Hampshire and
Swarthmore are far more dangerous for women than,
say, USC or UNC-Greensboro.
Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), who is studying
campus sex assault issues, said she is more
concerned about schools with no reported offenses
than those with many. She said she wonders whether
schools with zero reports are doing enough to
encourage students to step forward.
See a chart showing a 58% decline in rape in the
"From 1995 to 2010, the estimated annual rate of
female rape or sexual assault victimizations
declined 58%, from 5.0 victimizations per 1,000
females age 12 or older to 2.1 per 1,000."
It all could have been so different. See "The Sexual
Harassment Quagmire: How To Dig Out"
"The NISVS uses a broader definition of
sexual violence, which specifically mentions
in which the victim was unable to provide consent
to drug or alcohol use; forced to penetrate another
person; or coerced to engage in sexual contact
nonphysical pressure to engage in sex) unwanted
contact (including forcible kissing, fondling, or
and noncontact unwanted sexual experiences that do
involve physical contact."
The great campus rape hoax
Glenn Harlan Reynolds - December 14, 2014
The truth - that rape on campus is becoming
less common - doesn't fit the left's narrative.
Americans have been living through an enormously
sensationalized college rape hoax, but as the evidence
accumulates it's becoming clear that the entire thing
was just a bunch of media hype and political
No, I'm not talking about the Rolling Stone's lurid
and now-exploded fraternity gang-rape story. Whatever
the truth behind that story, it's now clear that
basically nothing that Rolling Stone reporter Sabrina
Rubin Erdely told us happened, actually happened. But
the hoax is much bigger than one overwrought and
perhaps entirely fictional tale of campus goings-on.
For months we've been told that there's a burgeoning
"epidemic" of rape on college campuses, that the
system for dealing with campus rape is "broken" and
that we need new federal legislation (of course!) to
deal with this disaster. Before the Rolling Stone
story imploded, Sens. Claire McCaskill, D-Mo., and
Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., were citing the Virginia
gang rape as evidence of the problem, but now that the
story has been exposed as bogus, they're telling us
that, regardless of that isolated incident, there's
still a huge campus rape problem that needs to be
addressed as soon as possible.
And that's the real college rape hoax. Because the
truth is that there's no epidemic outbreak of college
rape. In fact, rape on college campuses is — like rape
everywhere else in America — plummeting in frequency.
And that 1-in-5 college rape number you keep hearing
in the press? It's thoroughly bogus, too. (Even the
authors of that study say that "We don't think one in
five is a nationally representative statistic,"
because it sampled only two schools.)
Sen, Gillibrand also says that "women are at a greater
risk of sexual assault as soon as they step onto a
The truth — and, since she's a politician, maybe that
shouldn't be such a surprise — is exactly the
opposite. According to the Justice Department's Bureau
of Justice Statistics, the rate of rape and sexual
assault is lower for college students (at 6.1 per
1,000) than for non-students (7.6 per 1,000). (Note:
not 1 in 5). What's more, between 1997 and 2013,
rape against women dropped by about 50%, in keeping
with a more general drop in violent crime
Upshot: Women on campus aren't at more risk for sexual
assault, and their risk is nothing like the bogus
1-in-5 statistic bandied about by politicians and
activists. So why is this non-crisis getting so much
It's getting press because it suits the interests of
those pushing the story. For Gillibrand and McCaskill,
it's a woman-related story that helps boost their
status as female senators. It ties in with the "war on
women" theme that Democrats have been boosting since
2012, and will presumably roll out once again in 2016
in support of Hillary Clinton, or perhaps Elizabeth
Warren. And University of Virginia President Teresa
Sullivan hasn't apologized for her action in
suspending all fraternities (and sororities) on the
basis of a bogus story in Rolling Stone. Nor has she
apologized for the mob mentality on campus that saw
arrests, vandalism and protests at a fraternity house
based, again, on a single bogus report. Instead, she's
doubling down on the narrative.
This kind of hysteria may be ugly, but for campus
activists and bureaucrats it's a source of power: If
there's a "campus rape crisis," that means that we
need new rules, bigger budgets, and expanded power and
self-importance for all involved, with the added
advantage of letting you call your political opponents
(or anyone who threatens funding) "pro rape." If we
focus on the truth, however — rapidly declining rape
rates already, without any particular "crisis"
programs in place — then voters, taxpayers, and
university trustees will probably decide to invest
resources elsewhere. So for politicians and activists,
a phony crisis beats no crisis.
At least until people catch on. As George Washington
University law professor John Banzhaf notes, "After a
while, the boy who cried wolf wasn't believed, and the
women who cry rape may likewise not be believed,
especially with the accusations of rape at Duke
University and the University of Virginia fresh in
Even one rape is too many, of course, on or off of
campus. But when activists and politicians try to gin
up a phony crisis, public trust is likely to be a
major casualty. It's almost as if helping actual rape
victims is the last thing on these people's minds.
Glenn Harlan Reynolds, a University of Tennessee law
professor, is the author of The New School: How the
Information Age Will Save American Education from
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The Rolling Stone fiasco is also a good
demonstration of an MSM pattern whereby rapes by
black males are ignored while rapes by white
males (including and especially fabricated
stories) are front-page news. The actual
rape (and murder) of Hannah
Graham by Jesse Matthew (which
really happened) was ignored or downplayed by
most of the media (Google Search shows less than
2% of the mentions that the Rolling Stone hoax
received). This despite clear evidence that
Matthew was a serial killer and serial rapist.
The actual facts?
Blacks rape on average 100 white females per
day according to Dept. of Justice stats.
Lawrence Auster wrote an article for Front Page
Magazine a while back in which he walked his readers
through the data. He used the year 2005 as an
"In the United States in 2005, 37,460 white females
were sexually assaulted or raped by a black man,
while between zero and ten black females were
sexually assaulted or raped by a white man.
"What this means is that every day in the United
States, over one hundred white women are raped or
sexually assaulted by a black man."
In fact, as the DOJ
stats show, black males rape at several times
the rate of white males, and most often choose white
Yet media depictions are almost always of white men
doing the raping.
But then, we live in a culture which will happily
fabricate and propagate outrageous lies about
white-male criminality while some of our largest
cities have an explicit policy not to
investigate sex crimes by black males.
NYT — New Orleans Police Routinely
Ignored Sex Crimes, Report Finds
CNN — Inspector: No sign of
investigation in 1,111 New Orleans sex
Likewise, caught up in a mass-media frenzy over
the Rolling Stone rape hoax, the US media remained
resolutely silent about an actual gang rape by black
males in Florida: